Alas, my predictions this time last year for 2011 did not pan out, but for one: Prime Minister Stephen Harper did thank his loyal New Brunswick supporters by gutting health transfers, though he deferred a decision to build an extensive monorail from Edmundston to Sackville.
What’s a prophet to do? Owing to cheap, assembly-line Chinese manufacturing, crystal balls are notoriously unreliable these days,. This should not, however, prevent us from gazing long and hard into the foggy firmament for clues of things to come in 2012.
Barring the sudden and untimely end of the world, as promised by the Mayan long count calendar, which runs down just in time for Santa Claus, we can be reasonably certain of the following developments:
Prime Minister Stephen Harper will finally say what everyone knows has been on his mind since he waltzed into Ottawa some seven years ago: Democracy is overrated. The House of Commons can’t be trusted. The Senate is irrelevant. The supreme court is disloyal. Parliamentary watchdogs (especially the Auditor-General) are despicable. And the mainstream media are traitors.
With the virtually unchecked power his majority confers, he will introduce sweeping reforms to the administration of politics and governance in Canada, beginning with a change in his official designation, from “Prime Minister” to “Lord High Executioner of the Sovereign Republic of Canuckistan”.
He will then offer the British Royal Family dibs on forming a permanent ruling class. When its members decline, he will claim that their disinterest stems from the fact that Canuckistanians are not sufficiently anglophilic to earn such an honour. To remedy this, he will instruct government House Leader John Baird to introduce legislation that will require all citizens, regardless of their national or ethnic origins, to eat crumpets for breakfast, take afternoon tea and speak with a central London accent.
In 2012, the size of the federal public service will be slashed to a shadow of its former self, but not before it balloons thanks to the presence of hundreds of new contractors hired to slash the federal public service to a shadow of its former self.
The year will also bring new challenges to the East Coast.
Nova Scotia Premier Darrell Dexter will levy a new “stupidity tax” on the Halifax Regional Municipality. Applicable to any public officials and private individuals who insist that a structurally imbalanced budget is a small price to pay for pet projects and unlimited entitlements (re: sight-lines of George’s Island from Spring Garden Road), it will eradicate the province’s annual deficit within six months.
Prince Edward Island will cease to qualify as a province after historians uncover new evidence that it never did.
And the $48-billion worth of major capital projects in Newfoundland and Labrador will grind to a halt after a province-wide call for skilled labour produces only three applications from some guy named Buddy.
But the biggest changes in the Atlantic provinces appear to be in store for New Brunswick, which will finally abandon all pretense of one day developing a clean, renewable energy sector.
After months of meeting with residents about the future of the nascent shale gas industry, Premier David Alward will throw his hands into the air and declare, “This business of consultation totally sucks!”
By spring, the Tory government will have consigned most private land, outside urban centres, to mineral and natural gas exploration and extraction companies under existing laws of eminent domain. It will then pen deals that guarantee hundreds-of-millions of dollars a year in resource royalties and other fees.
By year end, having chewed up, bulldozed and otherwise exposed countless hectares of farms, woodlots and forests, the shale gas industry will announce that there’s not enough of the stuff to justify full-scale production operations.
They will engineer a coordinated pull-out from the province, prompting the opposition MLAs to suggest a new slogan for New Brunswick:
“Flee. . .from this place.”
Alec Bruce is a Moncton-based writer on politics, economics and current affairs. Check out his other blog here at Atlantic Business Magazine (ABMOnline): The Uneasy Chair.
